- My S&P500 Weekly Trend Forecast NL
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- Alhamdulilah – Check out my weekly forecast of the S&P500 Index & my monthly forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD - in my 12/05/2025 Mkt Algo Newsletter. The SPY increased slightly by 2.30 compared to the market close on 11/28/2025!
Alhamdulilah – Check out my weekly forecast of the S&P500 Index & my monthly forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD - in my 12/05/2025 Mkt Algo Newsletter. The SPY increased slightly by 2.30 compared to the market close on 11/28/2025!
Check out My Monthly Forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD for December 2025 – at the end of this NL
Patrick Oconnell
December 05, 2025
Alhamdulilah – Check out my weekly forecast of the S&P500 Index & my monthly forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD - in my 12/05/2025 Mkt Algo Newsletter. The SPY increased slightly by 2.30 compared to the market close on 11/28/2025!
NOT Investment Advice:
My proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends:
Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 12/05/2025:
For the trading week -as of the market close on Friday, 12/05/2025 - The SPY(SPDR - S&P500 ETF), increased a miniscule 2.30 – compared to the market close on 11/28/2025. What do YOU think? Will the Fed CONTINUE TO PUMP money into the equity markets next week? Duh!
Be Aware – Be Awesome!
That being said - you MUST be aware and- as the saying goes “Be as wise as a Serpent”
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FULL DISCLOSURE:
My “SPY-VIX Correlation Variance Metric” algo (described below)
from a “technical analysis perspective” attempts to forecast the upcoming trading week’s “trend.”
Sometimes the weekly trend of the S&P500 does not agree.
Sometimes it does agree with my SPY -VIX Correlation Metric algo!
· For the trading week ahead, both my VIX-SPY Correlation Variance metric AND the S&P 500 trend agree: Next week appears to look like a Bullish trend will be in play!
· Just an FYI to everyone – Patrick Oconnell – editor
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ALSO – FYI - To not miss out on the rapid changes in world geopolitical and in market trends – subscribe today – it's free – to my weekly MAG (Market Analysis and Geopolitical) Commentary Newsletter!
Subscribe today – here:
https://tinyurl.com/GenocideNo
Or here:
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For the upcoming trading week, ending on 12/12/2025, my proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index: This index indicates the ongoing Bullish trend for next week!
FYI - A VIX and/or a VVIX that increases, signals a potential Bearish trend.
A VIX and/or a VVIX that decreases, signals a potential Bullish trend.
VVIX index – The VVIX shows a minuscule indication of a Bearish trend for next week. However - IMHO – The Bulls seem to be getting ready to rock and roll next week!
Next week – as always - will be interesting, indeed!
Remember this - IMHO the markets ARE being manipulated - as in “rigged” –
· You DID know that, of course!
· What can possibly go wrong?
· Full Disclosure- NOT Investment Advice!
· Note: I STILL remain Bullish in the market - for the VERY LONG TERM!!!
· Swing traders and day traders – Take Note of This!
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil: This one has displayed a slight trend of Bullish for next week, although IMHO it remains in Bearish territory!
QQQ: This one continues to display an ongoing strong Bullish trend for the upcoming trading week!
Copper: This one shows an ongoing Bullish trend for next week as well!
Stay tuned to see how the next trading week plays out!
My comments and analyses of these indices are NEVER to be considered investment advice!!!
· A reminder – None of this is investment advice – as I am not an investment advisor! Consider it “entertainment” information!
Trade at your own risk.
Do your own due diligence!
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The Fed’s Plunge Protection Team, according to Greg Mannarino, will do anything to hype-pump the markets and ensure that, in the longer term, the Bulls remain in control—no matter the cost—no matter what it takes.
Always remember -
· IMHO - the Debt Market will primarily be the canary in the coal mine, so to speak, as regards the direction of the equity markets—IMHO, of course—NOT investment advice!
The Takeaway - NOT investment advice!!!
· Full Disclosure: My “SPY-VIX Correlation Variance Metric” algo may or may not agree with the weekly “trend” of the S&P 500” –
· Sometimes the S&P 500 week-over-week trend does agree and sometimes it does not agree with my algo.
· So, for the trading week ahead, my SPY-VIX Correlation Variance metric forecasts a moderately Bullish trading week ahead, from a purely technical point of view!
· So, for the upcoming trading week - BOTH the “trend” of the S&P 500 AND the SPY-VIX Correlation Variance Metric algo agree with each other!
· IMHO – such things can be deceiving, but “as they say” – the jury is still out on this forecast!
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As always - keep in mind - Volatility is still very much with us!
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Please note:
· Concerning my “VIX - SPY correlation-variance ” metric:
IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP, for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will my VSPY-VIX Correlation-Variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend, for the upcoming trading week!
· However, please note - This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, typically happens when the Fed is inclined to support the market.
· Be VERY aware - of course - at all times - concerning WHEN the rug pull comes!
· As always - IMHO - Central Bankers rule the planet! NOT the political leadership of the various so-called nation-states of Earth! –
· Just my opinion- of course! - Patrick
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NOT investment advice, of course!
I am not an investment advisor!
· The Takeaway - AS the US economy (Main Street) continues to fall - the US stock markets will continue to rise (and also decline – from time to time - of course) –
· IMHO - food, energy, and commodity prices will potentially HYPERINFLATE!
Just my opinion, of course!
Duh! ------------------///////////
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Below - I shall share my favorite five High Yield ETF’s that I am buying- for now.
· -Each of them yields between approximately 70%- and MORE - per annum-
· NOT investment advice –
· Do your own Due Diligence!
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Tell your friends to subscribe now- to see what ETF’s are my favorites!
I prefer to invest in these things, in lieu of doing day or swing trades. Typically, I prefer a buy-and-hold strategy. Sometimes I sell them when they fail to “deliver” or do a reverse split, from which they struggle to recover! You may want to check out this JOMO (Joy of Missing Out) strategy - or not- It’s your call!
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NOTE:
All of my Fidelity retirement brokerage account data is current as of the date shown below, in the section entitled “The Portfolio” - –
I am sharing with you – my current Joy of Missing Out (JOMO) favorite High Yield ETFs ( and VERY HIGH RISK) - that I am regularly investing in – NOT investment advice –
I am NOT an investment advisor –
These are simply my five favorite ETFs that feature (variable- as in they go up and DOWN!) high yields.
With a high ROI- a high risk of loss is “what you get’!
You can do your own Due Diligence at these websites:
FULL DISCLOSURE -
I share information concerning the annual dividend returns on five ETFs that pay on a monthly basis.
My five favorites- which I disclose in detail - currently yield between 70% - 100% - and more on an annual ROI basis!
· High Risk - High Returns! –
· NOT Investment Advice! -
I am NOT an investment advisor!!! - Patrick OConnell
Don’t miss a single issue of the Newletter!
Subscribe and ALWAYS get my complete newsletter- every week!
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE - I am NOT an investment advisor.
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Here is the data that I extracted from my Fidelity retirement brokerage account:
For paid subscribers to my Substack NL – “The Market Algo NL” -
The following information, which I call “The Portfolio” - is “typically - IN FULL - displayed” - in each Substack NL and in my Beehiiv NL, “My S&P500 WeeklyTrend Forecast Newsletter” as well!
Please be sure – to read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!
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IMPORTANT FOR YOU TO NOTE –
Here is the data for my five CURRENT / FAVORITE HOLDINGS (all pay dividends weekly) -
- that I extracted from my:
Fidelity IRA – Roth retirement brokerage account:
Be a paid Substack subscriber and view my entire NL, to include my forecast for the next trading month’s ROREX – EUR/USD paid – Bullish, Bearish Trend – OR Trend “Unclear”!
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“The Portfolio” -
All the following data - as displayed in my Fidelity ROTH-IRA Acct – is current as of 12.05.2025 –
Symbol ROI (% Ann Div Yield) Est Ann Income
Symbol ROI (% Ann Div Yield) Est Ann Income
CONY 186% $ 20405
MSTY 281 18171
NVDY 80 7782
TSLY 100 7798
ULTY 146 26537
Breaking – As of 11/13/2025- I am automatically reinvesting the dividends into each ETF. ALL of these ETFs now pay WEEKLY!. I am providing this info for FULL DISCLUSURE/ Transparency!
Just an FYI for everyone - Patrick Oconnell – publisher/ediorof the Market Algo NL and “My S&P 500 NL“ (published on BeeHiiv).
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My Due Diligence (DD) resource URL links - FYI:
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Subscribe to my free weekly MAG Commentary on LinkedIn
(Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries) to stay current on global geopolitics – subscribe for free here: –
https://tinyurl.com/GenocideNo
Or here:
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A Bonus for You –
· PLUS- A bonus for you – I use a proprietary algo that (attempts) to forecast the upcoming trading month trend of the FOREX EUR-USD pair (Bullish-Bearish or Trend Uncertain).
· I use the VIX index (the "fear index," as I call it) to do this, by comparing the last month’s closing price on the last day of trading of both the VIX and the EUR-USD, to the PRIOR month’s closing price on the last day of trading of the VIX and the EUR-USD. It's a fairly basic trend forecasting algorithm, in my opinion.
· However, remember that this is not investment advice - it is for entertainment only!
For the month of December 2025, my algo forecasts the FOREX EUR-USD pair to undergo a Bullish trend.
From February 2025 through the end of October 2025, I have recorded 3 Hits, 5 Misses, and 2 “Trend Unclear” forecasts.
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