- My S&P500 Weekly Trend Forecast NL
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- Alhamdulilah – Check out my weekly forecast of the S&P500 Index & my monthly forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD - in my 11/14/2025 Mkt Algo Newsletter. The SPY uncreased a measley 0.96
Alhamdulilah – Check out my weekly forecast of the S&P500 Index & my monthly forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD - in my 11/14/2025 Mkt Algo Newsletter. The SPY uncreased a measley 0.96
Check out My Monthly Forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD for November 2025 – at the end of this NL
Patrick Oconnell
November 15, 2025
Alhamdulilah – Check out my weekly forecast of the S&P500 Index & my monthly forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD - in my 11/14/2025 Mkt Algo Newsletter. The SPY uncreased a measley 0.96 compared to the market close on 11/07/2025!
Check out My Monthly Forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD for November 2025 – at the end of this NL
NOT Investment Advice:
My proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends:
Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 11/21/2025:
For the trading week -as of the market close on Friday, 11/14/2025 - The SPY(SPDR - S&P500 ETF), increased a measley 0.96 – compared to the market close on 11/07//2025. What do YOU think? Will the Fed CONTINUE TO PUMP money into the equity markets next week? Duh!
Be Aware – Be Awesome!
That being said - you MUST be aware and- as the saying goes “Be as wise as a Serpent”
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FULL DISCLOSURE:
My “SPY-VIX Correlation Variance Metric” algo (described below)
from a “technical analysis perspective” attempts to forecast the upcoming trading week’s “trend.”
Sometimes the weekly trend of the S&P500 does not agree.
Sometimes it does agree with my SPY -VIX Correlation Metric algo!
· For the trading week ahead, although the week-over-trend indicates a VERY WEAK bullish week ahead- I am no buyig it! NOT AT ALL! So I think next week will be Bearich- as my “VIX-SPY Correlation Variance” metric coniues to indicate a Bearish week ahead!
· Just an FYI to everyone – Patrick Oconnell – editor
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ALSO – FYI - To not miss out on the rapid changes in world geopolitical and in market trends – subscribe today – it's free – to my weekly MAG Newsletter!
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For the upcoming trading week, ending on 11/21/2025, my proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index: This index indicates an ongoing Bearish trend for the upcoming trading week.
FYI - A VIX and/or a VVIX that increases, signals a potential Bearish trend.
A VIX and/or a VVIX that decreases, signals a potential Bullish trend.
VVIX index – The VVIX, indicates an ongoing strong Bearish trend for the upcoming trading week!
Next week will be interesting, indeed!
Remember this - IMHO the markets ARE being manipulated - as in “rigged” –
· You DID know that, of course!
· What can possibly go wrong?
· Full Disclosure- NOT Investment Advice!
· Note: I STILL remain Bullish in the market - for the VERY LONG TERM!!!
· Swing traders and day traders – Take Note of This!
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil: This one remains Bearish for the week ahead!
QQQ: This one also remains Bearish for the upcoming trading week!
Copper: This one also hremains Bearish for the upcoming trading week (although it turned up a tiny bit at week’s end- NOT convincing me that it is on a Bullish trend, however)!
Stay tuned to see how the next trading week plays out!
My comments and analyses of these indices are NEVER to be considered investment advice!!!
· A reminder – None of this is investment advice – as I am not an investment advisor! Consider it “entertainment” information!
Trade at your own risk.
Do your own due diligence!
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The Fed’s Plunge Protection Team, according to Greg Mannarino, will do anything to hype-pump the markets and ensure that, in the longer term, the Bulls remain in control—no matter the cost—no matter what it takes.
Always remember -
· IMHO - the Debt Market will primarily be the canary in the coal mine, so to speak, as regards the direction of the equity markets—IMHO, of course—NOT investment advice!
The Takeaway - NOT investment advice!!!
· Full Disclosure: My “SPY-VIX Correlation Variance Metric” algo may or may not agree with the weekly “trend” of the S&P 500” –
· Sometimes the S&P 500 week-over-week trend does agree and sometimes it does not agree with my algo.
· So, for the trading week ahead, my SPY-VIX Correlation Variance metric forecasts a moderately Bullish trading week ahead, from a purely technical point of view!
· So, BOTH the “trend” of the S&P 500 AND the SPY-VIX Correlation Variance Metric algo agree with each other!
· IMHO – such things can be deceiving, but “as they say” – the jury is still out on this forecast!
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As always - keep in mind - Volatility is still very much with us!
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Please note:
· Concerning my “VIX - SPY correlation-variance ” metric:
IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP, for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will my VSPY-VIX Correlation-Variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend, for the upcoming trading week!
· However, please note - This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, typically happens when the Fed is inclined to support the market.
· Be VERY aware - of course - at all times - concerning when the rug pull comes!
· As always - IMHO - Central Bankers rule the planet! NOT the political leadership of the various so-called nation-states of Earth! –
· Just my opinion- of course! - Patrick
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NOT investment advice, of course!
I am not an investment advisor!
· The Takeaway - AS the US economy (Main Street) continues to fall - the US stock markets will continue to rise (and also decline – from time to time - of course) –
· IMHO - food, energy, and commodity prices will potentially HYPERINFLATE!
Just my opinion, of course!
Duh! ------------------///////////
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Below - I shall share my favorite five High Yield ETF’s that I am buying- for now.
· -Each of them yields between approximately 70%- and MORE - per annum-
· NOT investment advice –
· Do your own Due Diligence!
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Tell your friends to subscribe now- to see what ETF’s are my favorites!
I prefer to invest in these things, in lieu of doing day or swing trades. Typically, I prefer a buy-and-hold strategy. Sometimes I sell them when they fail to “deliver” or do a reverse split, from which they struggle to recover! You may want to check out this JOMO (Joy of Missing Out) strategy - or not- It’s your call!
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NOTE:
All of my Fidelity retirement brokerage account data is current as of the date shown below, in the section entitled “The Portfolio” - –
I am sharing with you – my current Joy of Missing Out (JOMO) favorite High Yield ETFs ( and VERY HIGH RISK) - that I am regularly investing in – NOT investment advice –
I am NOT an investment advisor –
These are simply my five favorite ETFs that feature (variable- as in they go up and DOWN!) high yields.
With a high ROI- a high risk of loss is “what you get’!
You can do your own Due Diligence at these websites:
FULL DISCLOSURE -
I share information concerning the annual dividend returns on five ETFs that pay on a monthly basis.
My five favorites- which I disclose in detail - currently yield between 70% - 100% - and more on an annual ROI basis!
· High Risk - High Returns! –
· NOT Investment Advice! -
I am NOT an investment advisor!!! - Patrick OConnell
Don’t miss a single issue of the Newletter!
Subscribe and ALWAYS get my complete newsletter- every week!
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE - I am NOT an investment advisor.
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Here is the data that I extracted from my Fidelity retirement brokerage account:
For paid subscribers to my Substack NL – “The Market Algo NL” -
The following information, which I call “The Portfolio” - is “typically - IN FULL - displayed” - in each Substack NL and in my Beehiiv NL, “My S&P500 WeeklyTrend Forecast Newsletter” as well!
Please be sure – to read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!
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IMPORTANT FOR YOU TO NOTE –
Here is the data for my five CURRENT / FAVORITE HOLDINGS (all pay dividends weekly) -
- that I extracted from my:
Fidelity IRA – Roth retirement brokerage account:
Be a paid Substack subscriber and view my entire NL, to include my forecast for the next trading month’s ROREX – EUR/USD paid – Bullish, Bearish Trend – OR Trend “Unclear”!
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“The Portfolio” -
All the following data - as displayed in my Fidelity ROTH-IRA Acct – is current as of 11.14.2025 –
Symbol ROI (% Ann Div Yield) Est Ann Income
CONY 164 % $ 19611
MSTY 291 20466
NVDY 82 8000
TSLY 113 8341
ULTY 134 24959
Breaking – As of 11/13/2025- I am automatically reinvesting the dividends into each ETF. ALL of thesese ETFs now pay WEEKLY!. I am providing this info for FULL DISCLUSURE/ Transparency!
Just an FYI for everyone - Patrick Oconnell – publisher/ediorof the Market Algo NL and “My S&P 500 “ NL (published on BeeHiiv).
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My Due Diligence (DD) resource URL links - FYI:
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Subscribe to my free weekly MAG Commentary on LinkedIn
(Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries) to stay current on global geopolitics – subscribe for free here: –
https://tinyurl.com/GenocideNo
Or here:
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A Bonus for You –
· PLUS- A bonus for you – I use a proprietary algo that (attempts) to forecast the upcoming trading month trend of the FOREX EUR-USD pair (Bullish-Bearish or Trend Uncertain).
· I use the VIX index (the "fear index," as I call it) to do this, by comparing the last month’s closing price on the last day of trading of both the VIX and the EUR-USD, to the PRIOR month’s closing price on the last day of trading of the VIX and the EUR-USD. It's a fairly basic trend forecasting algorithm, in my opinion.
· However, remember that this is not investment advice - it is for entertainment only!
For the month of November 2025, my algo forecasts the FOREX EUR-USD pair to undergo a Bullish trend.
From February 2025 through the end of October 2025, I have recorded 3 Hits, 4 Misses, and 2 “Trend Unclear” forecasts.