My S&P 500 Weekly Trend Forecast NL – 08/29/2025

Check out My Monthly Forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD pair – at the end of this NL

Author

Patrick Oconnell
August 29, 2025

My S&P 500 Weekly  Trend Forecast NL – 08/29/2025

 Check out My Monthly Forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD pair – at the end of this NL

My proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends, Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 08/2915/2025:

For the trading week -as of the market close on Friday, 08/29/2025 - The SPY(SPDR - S&P500 ETF), - Increased by a miniscule 1.14 – compared to the market close on 08/22/2025!

What do YOU think? Will the Fed CONTINUE TO PUMP money into the equity markets next week? Duh!

 

Be Aware – Be Awesome!

That being said - you MUST be aware and- as the saying goes “Be as wise as a Serpent”

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To not miss out on the rapid changes in world geopolitical and in market trends – subscribe today – it's free – to my weekly MAG Newsletter!

 

Subscribe today – here:

https://tinyurl.com/GenocideNo

Or here:

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NOT Investment advice:

For the upcoming trading week, ending on 09/05/2025 - my proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:

VIX index: This index hasturned slightly Bearishfor the  upcoming trading week!

VVIX index – The VVIX  has turned moderately Bearish, increasing  from 89.78 to 97.17 for the week ending 08/29/2025- compared to the close on 08/22/2025!

Remember this - IMHO the markets ARE being manipulated - as in “rigged” -

You DID know that, of course!

What can possibly go wrong?

Full Disclosure- NOT Investment Advice!

Note: I STILL remain Bullish in the market - for the VERY LONG TERM!!!

Swing traders and day traders – Take Note of This!

 

West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil: This one remains moderately Bullish for the week ahead.

 

QQQ: This one remains slightly Bearish  for the upcoming trading week!

Copper:  Remains slightly Bearish for the upcoming trading week!!

 

Stay tuned to see how the next trading week plays out!

My comments and analyses of these indices are NEVER to be considered investment advice!!!

A reminder – None of this is investment advice – as I am not an investment advisor! Consider it “entertainment” information!

 

Trade at your own risk. 

Do your own due diligence!

·  * Welcome to yet another week in which the Bears -  IMHO – appear to be in control!

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The Fed’s Plunge Protection Team, according to Greg Mannarino, will do anything to hype-pump the markets and ensure that, in the longer term, the Bulls remain in control—no matter the cost—no matter what it takes.

Always remember - 

IMHO - the Debt Market will primarily be the canary in the coal mine, so to speak, as regards the direction of the equity markets—IMHO, of course—NOT investment advice!

The Takeaway:

My SPY-VIX Correlation Variation metric, however forecasts a slightly Bearish week ahead, from a purely technical point of view!

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Of course - keep in mind - Volatility is still very much with us!

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Please note:

Concerning my  “VIX -  SPY correlation-variance ” metric: 

IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP, for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our  VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,for the upcoming week,…

This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, typically happens - when the Fed is inclined to support the market.

 

Be VERY aware - of course - at all times - concerning when the rug pull comes! 

 

As always - IMHO - Central Bankers rule the planet! NOT the political leadership of the various so-called nation-states of the earth! - Just my opinion- of course!- Patrick

 

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Be sure to follow Greg Mannarino for ongoing market updates (Google “Gregory Mannarino” to locate his YouTube channel).

NOT investment advice, of course! I am not an investment advisor!

The Takeaway - AS the US economy (Main Street) continues to fall - the US stock markets will continue to rise (and also decline – from time to time -  of course) -

IMHO - food, energy, and commodity prices will potentially HYPERINFLATE!

Just my opinion, of course!

Duh!

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 REMINDER:

Daniel Riley –Mr.TopStep:

provides daily updates on the markets: 

His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!  —Patrick

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Below - I shall share my favorite seven High Yield ETF’s that I am buying- for now -Each of them yields between approximately 70%- and MORE - per annum-

NOT investment advice -

Do your own Due Diligence!

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Tell your friends to subscribe now- to see what ETF’s are my favorites!

 I prefer to invest in these things - in lieu of doing day or swing trades. Typically- I prefer a buy and hold strategy. Sometimes I sell them when they fail to “deliver” or do a reverse split, from which they struggle to recover! You may want to check out this JOMO (Joy of Missing Out) strategy - or not- It’s your call!

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NOTE:

All of my Fidelity retirement brokerage account data is current as of the date shown below, in the section entitled “The Portfolio” - –

 

I am sharing with you – my current Joy of Missing Out (JOMO) favorite High Yield ETFs ( and VERY HIGH RISK) - that I am regularly investing in – NOT investment advice –

I am NOT an investment advisor –

These are simply my favorite ETFs that feature (variable- as in they go up and DOWN!) high yields.

 With a high ROI- a high risk of loss is “what you get’!

You can do your own Due Diligence at these websites:

 FULL DISCLOSURE -

I share information concerning the annual dividend returns on some ETFs that pay on a monthly basis. - 

My favorites- which I disclose in detail - currently yield between 70% - 100% - and more on an annual ROI basis!

High Risk - High Returns! -

NOT Investment Advice! -

I am NOT an investment advisor!!! - Patrick OConnell

Don’t miss a single issue of the Newletter!

Subscribe and ALWAYS get my complete newsletter- with my breaking monthly update on the status of this High Yield - High Risk Portfolio of my favorite ETFs - NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE - I am NOT an investment advisor.

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Here is the data that I extracted from my Fidelity retirement brokerage account:

For paid subscribers:

The following information, which I call “The Portfolio” - is “typically - IN FULL - displayed” - ONLY for Paid Subscribers to The Market Algo Newsletter!

Please be sure – to read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!

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IMPORTANT FOR YOU TO NOTE –

Here is the data for my 7 CURRENT / FAVORITE HOLDINGS (all pay dividends monthly – except ULTY- which pays weekly -  

- that I extracted from my:  

Fidelity IRA retirement brokerage account:

NOTE – FYI -  The inverse of the following 2 ETFs is shown in (parentheses) – CONY (FIAT) and NVDY (CRSH)

Full Disclosure - All 7 ETFs pay on a monthly basis except ULTY – which pays weekly:

Be a paid subscriber and view my entire portfolio of my favorite 7 ETFs, to include their current ROI% and Fidelity’s estimated Annual ROI in USD.

 

FYI – On 03/21/2025 – I sold six of these ETFs – that I previously owned: NFLY – QQQY – YBIT – BITO – SQY - and IWMY.

I felt I needed a more impactful annual ROI – so I bought TSLY with the proceeds from the ETFs I sold.

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“The Portfolio” - All the following data  - as displayed in my Fidelity ROTH-IRA Acct –

 is current as of 08/29/2025 –

Symbol…………………….ROI%........................Est Ann Income 

 

CONY……………………….166%......................... $23182 

CRSH……………….………..150…………….………..8580 

FIAT……………………….…284…….………….…… 8247 

MSTY………….….…………..178…………..…….…20826 

NVDY………………….……….80……………………..7507 

TSLY…………………………115………………..……..9037 

ULTY…………….…………….128………………..………9461

 

NOTE:

· ULTY pays on a weekly basis!

· The others pay once a month!

· VERY IMPORTANT 072525 Update -  on what I buy every month:

I now buy MSTY-CONY-NVDY-TSLY – IN LIEU OF this set of 4 ETF’s (MSTY-CRSH-NVDY-FIAT) 

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FYI - I buy in various weeks (1st-2nd-3rd-4th week-- - - - - - NOT necessarily on the same day of each week for each month though -

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VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR ALL MY SUBSCRIBERS -

My trading strategy – pertaining to which 4 ETFs I buy BEFORE the “next” ETF’s Ex-Dividend date -of each month- is detailed below –

A Reminder for you guys and girls - (Remember the ex-dividend date- for UTLY – is WEEKLY!!! - NOT monthly!)

 

Full Disclosure –

Important Updates:

· 02/28/2025 MAJOR UPDATE: FYI – Each of these Hi Yield – VERY HIGH RISK ETFs pay their dividends – on a MONTHLY BASIS (except for UTLY -which pays on a weekly basis)! – So, as of 02/28/2025 - and moving forward – I plan to implement the following strategy for my ROTH-IRA account:

· 06/06/2025 --VERY IMPORTANT ***UPDATE-

·

· As of June 2025- the following strategy- buying a specific Friday - on the Friday I previously used - is now obsolete- PLEASE refer to the website identified below (It is within the PAYWALL – SUBSCRIBE NOW – to get the URL and other important info from my monthly strategy in buying these ETFs!

· - for the correct Ex-Divided Dates (you need to buy the “next” ETF BEFORE the applicable “Ex-Dividend” date!!! - So that way you will know WHEN to buy the “next” ETF in the sequence- ALWAYS buy BEFORE the “next” ETF’s Ex-Dividend date- ALWAYS!!!

· Email me if you have questions- and oh yes-

Very Important Information for ALL my subscribers -

Go To THIS URL To GET INFO ON WHEN I BUY MY ETFs EACH MONTH - ·

· Here is the URL for you to get this ex-dividend date info on the updated “strategy” when to buy the “next” ETF:- to use in my updated strategy to get monthly income (and weekly - in the case of UTLY):

·

 

**** NOTE- I get this info FREE – by asking the Google Search Engine what the Ex-dividend date is going to be - for- example MSTY (or whatever ETF I am interested in)!

 One of the options is to go to

https://marketchameleon.com

I did NOT use their limited free trial- I just get the info I need for FREE by using Google! This may be a glitch- If anything changes I WILL let you guys and girls know ASAP

Instructions on using the info located at the Marketchameleon website are at the following website:

https://marketchameleon.com

Easy 2 Use -

· You will need to input the symbol of the ETF - Then - when that ETF info appears- click on “Dividends” as the sub-category you will want to view.

· Everything is there: Ex-Dividend Dates - Payout Dates - An awesome website for tons of info on equities and ETFs, etc!

·

· Very Important note for you to read -

· On the specific day of each month when CONY and FIAT pay their dividends- I shall buy MSTY.

· On the specific day of each month – when MSTY pays out – I shall buy CRSH (CRUSH is the inverse ETF of TSLY).

· On the specific day of each month – when TSLY and CRSH pay their dividends – I shall buy NVDY.

· On the specific day of each month – when NVDY pays out – I shall buy CONY (I previously bought FIAT, the inverse ETF of CONY).

· My rationale follows – FYI - In the week that one of these ETFs pays out – I buy the ETF that will pay out in the next week. Sort of like reinvesting – but reinvesting in the ETF that pays out in the next week. Not sure how this will work out - but time will tell, no?

· Email or DM me to share your feedback on this strategy – Patrick

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My Due Diligence (DD) resource url links - FYI:

 

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(Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries) to stay current on global geopolitics – subscribe for free here: –

https://tinyurl.com/GenocideNo

Or here:

 

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A Bonus for You –

PLUS- A bonus for you – I use a proprietary algo that (attempts) to forecast the upcoming trading month trend of the FOREX EUR-USD pair (Bullish-Bearish or Trend Uncertain). 

I use the VIX index (the "fear index," as I call it) to do this, by comparing the last month’s closing price on the last day of trading of both the VIX and the EUR-USD, to the PRIOR month’s closing price on the last day of trading of the VIX and the EUR-USD. It's a fairly basic trend forecasting algorithm, in my opinion.

However, remember that this is not investment advice - it is for entertainment only!

For this month of September 2025, my algo forecasts the FOREX EUR-USD pair to undergo an “Unclear Trend.”

From March 2025 through the end of August  2025, I have recorded 2 Hits, 3 Misses, and one “Trend Unclear.”