My S&P 500 Weekly Trend Forecast NL – 10/03/2025

Check out My Monthly Forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD pair – at the end of this NL

Author

Patrick Oconnell
October 03, 2025

Alhamdulilah- The weekly trend for the SPY(SPDR-S&P500 ETF)…-IMO – for the next trading week has turned Bullish - The Spy increased by 7.39  at the market close on 10/03/2025 (compared to the 09/26/2025 close). 

 

Check out My Monthly Forecast for the FOREX EUR-USD for October 2025 – at the end of this NL

NOT Investment Advice:

 

My proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends:

Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 10/10/2025:

 

For the trading week -as of the market close on Friday, 10/03/2025 - The  SPY(SPDR - S&P500 ETF), increased by 7.39 – compared to the market close on 09/26/2025!

What do YOU think? Will the Fed CONTINUE TO PUMP money into the equity markets next week?  Duh!

 

Be Aware – Be Awesome!

That being said - you MUST be aware and- as the saying goes “Be as wise as a Serpent”

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To not miss out on the rapid changes in world geopolitical and in market trends – subscribe today – it's free – to my weekly MAG Newsletter!

 

Subscribe today – here:

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Or here:

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For the upcoming trading week, ending on 10/10/2025, my proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:

 

 

VIX index: This index indicates a continuing  Bullish trend for the upcoming trading week.

FYI -    A VIX  and/or a VVIX that increases, signals a potential Bearish trend. 

A VIX and/or a VVIX  that decreases,  signals a potential  Bullish trend.

 

VVIX index – The VVIX, however, indicates a Bearish trend for the upcoming trading week!

Next week will be interesting, indeed!

Remember this - IMHO the markets ARE being manipulated - as in “rigged” –

·  You DID know that, of course!

· What can possibly go wrong?

·  Full Disclosure- NOT Investment Advice!

·  Note:  I STILL remain Bullish in the market - for the VERY LONG TERM!!!

·  Swing traders and day traders – Take Note of This!

 

West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil: This one is now trending moderately Bearish for the week ahead!

 

QQQ: This one has now turned slightly Beullish   for the upcoming trading week!

Copper:  This one remains moderately Bullish  for the upcoming trading week!!

 

Stay tuned to see how the next trading week plays out!

·  My comments and analyses of these indices are NEVER to be considered investment advice!!!

·  A reminder – None of this is investment advice – as I am not an investment advisor!  Consider it “entertainment”  information!

 

Trade at your own risk. 

Do your own due diligence!

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The Fed’s Plunge Protection Team, according to Greg Mannarino, will do anything to hype-pump the markets and ensure that, in the longer term, the Bulls remain in control—no matter the cost—no matter what it takes.

Always remember - 

·  IMHO - the Debt Market will primarily be the canary in the coal mine, so to speak, as regards the direction of the equity markets—IMHO, of course—NOT investment advice!

The Takeaway  -   NOT investment advice!!!

·   Full Disclosure:   My “SPY-VIX Correlation Variance Metric”  algo  may or may not agree with the weekly “trend” of the S&P 500” –

·  Sometimes the S&P 500 week-over-week trend does agree and sometimes it does not agree with my algo.  

·  So, for the trading week ahead, My SPY-VIX Correlation Variance metric forecasts a continuing possibly Bearish  trading week ahead, from a purely technical point of view!

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As always - keep in mind -  Volatility is still very much with us!

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Please note:

·  Concerning my  “VIX -  SPY correlation-variance ” metric: 

IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP,  for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will my VSPY-VIX Correlation-Variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend, for the upcoming trading week!

·  However, please note - This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, typically happens when the Fed is inclined to support the market.

 

·  Be VERY aware  - of course - at all times -  concerning when  the rug pull comes! 

 

·  As always - IMHO - Central Bankers rule the planet! NOT the political leadership of the various so-called nation-states of Earth! –

 

· Just my opinion- of course! - Patrick

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NOT investment advice, of course!

I am not an investment advisor!

·  The Takeaway - AS the US economy (Main Street) continues to fall - the US stock markets will continue to rise (and also decline – from time to time -  of course) –

·  IMHO - food, energy, and commodity prices will potentially HYPERINFLATE!

Just my opinion, of course!

Duh!

 

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Below - I shall share my favorite five High Yield ETF’s that I am buying- for now.

·  -Each of them yields between approximately 70%- and MORE - per annum-

·  NOT investment advice –

·  Do your own Due Diligence!

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Tell your friends to subscribe now- to see what ETF’s are my favorites!

 I prefer to invest in these things, in lieu of doing day or swing trades. Typically, I prefer a buy-and-hold strategy. Sometimes I sell them when they fail to “deliver” or do a reverse split, from which they struggle to recover! You may want to check out this JOMO (Joy of Missing Out) strategy - or not- It’s your call!

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NOTE:

All of my Fidelity retirement brokerage account data is current as of the date shown below, in the section entitled “The Portfolio” - –

 

I am sharing with you – my current Joy of Missing Out (JOMO) favorite High Yield ETFs ( and VERY HIGH RISK) - that I am regularly investing in – NOT investment advice –

I am NOT an investment advisor –

These are simply my five favorite ETFs that feature (variable- as in they go up and DOWN!) high yields.

 With a high ROI- a high risk of loss is “what you get’!

You can do your own Due Diligence at these websites:

 

FULL DISCLOSURE -

I share information concerning the annual dividend returns on four  ETFs that pay on a monthly basis. One more ETF,  (ULTY) pays dividends on a weekly basis -  

My five favorites- which I disclose in detail - currently yield between 70% - 100% - and more on an annual ROI basis!

·  High Risk - High Returns! –

·  NOT Investment Advice! -

I am NOT an investment advisor!!! - Patrick OConnell

Don’t miss a single issue of the Newletter!

Subscribe and ALWAYS get my complete newsletter- with my breaking monthly update on the status of this High Yield - High Risk Portfolio of my favorite five ETFs - NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE - I am NOT an investment advisor.

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Here is the data that I extracted from my Fidelity retirement brokerage account:

For paid subscribers to my Substack NL – “The Market Algo NL” -

The following information, which I call “The Portfolio” - is “typically - IN FULL - displayed” - ONLY for Paid Subscribers to The Market Algo Newsletter!

Please be sure – to read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!

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IMPORTANT FOR YOU TO NOTE –

Here is the data for my five  CURRENT / FAVORITE HOLDINGS (all pay dividends monthly – except ULTY- which pays weekly -  

- that I extracted from my:  

Fidelity IRA retirement brokerage account:

NOTE – FYI -  The inverse of the following 2 ETFs is shown in (parentheses) – CONY (FIAT) and NVDY (CRSH). I do not currently own either of these ETFs.

 

Be a paid Substack subscriber and view my entire portfolio of my favorite five  ETFs, to include their current ROI% and Fidelity’s estimated Annual ROI in USD.

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“The Portfolio” - 

All the following data  - as displayed in my Fidelity ROTH-IRA Acct – is current as of  10.03.2025 –

Symbol…………………….ROI%........................Est Ann Income 

CONY……………………….147%........................... $22121                      

MSTY………….….………….184………………..……..…20360                          

NVDY………………….…..….76…………………………..7774              

TSLY………………….…..……101………………………..84320                           

ULTY…………….…..……….125……………….…………16141

NOTE:

· ULTY pays on a weekly basis!

· The others pay once a month!

· VERY IMPORTANT Update -  on what and when I buy every month:

 

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FYI - I buy in various weeks (1st-2nd-3rd-4th week-- - - - - - NOT necessarily on the same day of each week for each month though -

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VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR ALL MY SUBSCRIBERS –

My trading strategy – pertaining to which 4 ETFs I buy BEFORE the “next” ETF’s Ex-Dividend date -of each month-

is detailed below  ( ULTY is always reinvesting the weekly dividends automatically – FYI) -

 

·  A Reminder for everyone: the ex-dividend date- for UTLY – is WEEKLY!!! - NOT monthly!)

 

Full Disclosure –

Important Updates:·

· As of June 2025- the following strategy- buying a specific Friday - on the Friday I previously used - is now obsolete-

PLEASE refer to the website identified below (It is within the “Market Algo Newsletter”  Substack  PAYWALL – SUBSCRIBE NOW – to get the URL and other important info from my monthly strategy in buying these ETFs!

For the correct Ex-Divided Dates (you need to buy the “next” ETF BEFORE the applicable “Ex-Dividend” date!!! - So that way you will know WHEN to buy the “next” ETF in the sequence- ALWAYS buy BEFORE the “next” ETF’s Ex-Dividend date- ALWAYS!!!·

* Email me if you have questions- and oh yes-

Very Important Information for ALL my subscribers –

·  Go To THIS URL To GET INFO ON WHEN I BUY MY ETFs EACH MONTH - ·

·  Here is the URL for you to get this ex-dividend date info on the updated “strategy” when to buy the “next” ETF:- to use in my updated strategy to get monthly income (and weekly - in the case of UTLY – IF you don’t want to automatically reinvest the weekly dividends):

 

 

**** NOTE- I get this info FREE – by asking the Google Search Engine what the Ex-dividend date is going to be - for- example MSTY (or whatever ETF I am interested in)!

 One of the options is to go to:

 

I did NOT use their limited free trial- I just get the info I need for FREE by using Google! This may be a glitch- If anything changes, I WILL let you guys and girls know ASAP

Instructions on using the info located at the Market Chameleon website are at the following website:

 

Easy 2 Use –

·  You will need to input the symbol of the ETF - Then - when that ETF info appears- click on “Dividends” as the sub-category you will want to view.

·  Everything is there: Ex-Dividend Dates - Payout Dates - An awesome website for tons of info on equities and ETFs, etc!

·  My rationale follows – FYI - In the week that one of these ETFs pays out – I buy the ETF that will pay out in the next week. It's similar to reinvesting, but reinvesting in the ETF that pays out the followingz week. Not sure how this will work out - but time will tell, no?

·  Email or DM me to share your feedback on this strategy – Patrick

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My Due Diligence (DD) resource URL links - FYI:

 

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(Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries) to stay current on global geopolitics – subscribe for free here: –

https://tinyurl.com/GenocideNo

Or here:

 

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A Bonus for You –

·  PLUS- A bonus for you – I use a proprietary algo that (attempts) to forecast the upcoming trading month trend of the FOREX EUR-USD pair (Bullish-Bearish or Trend Uncertain). 

·  I use the VIX index (the "fear index," as I call it) to do this, by comparing the last month’s closing price on the last day of trading of both the VIX and the EUR-USD, to the PRIOR month’s closing price on the last day of trading of the VIX and the EUR-USD. It's a fairly basic trend forecasting algorithm, in my opinion.

·  However, remember that this is not investment advice - it is for entertainment only!

For the month of October 2025, my algo forecasts the FOREX EUR-USD pair to undergo a Bullish trend.

From March 2025 through the end of September  2025, I have recorded 2 Hits, 3 Misses, and 2 “Trend Unclear” forecasts.