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- My S&P500 Weekly Trend Forecast NL -07/03/2025
My S&P500 Weekly Trend Forecast NL -07/03/2025
For the week ending 070325- the S&P500 was up 10.43!
Patrick Oconnell
July 10, 2025
My S&P500 Weekly Trend Forecast NL -07/03/2025
AI image created by Patrick OConnell
NOT Investment Advice! –
ONLY intended for educational purposes.
Do your own DD and invest at your own risk tolerance.
I may buy and sell, some, most, or all of the positions in what I call “The Portfolio” - my JOMO (Joy of Missing out) list of high yield - high risk ETFs.
“JOMO” is my phrase that is the opposite of “FOMO - Fear of Missing Out”.
My JOMO ETF’s embrace high dividend paying ETF’s - whereas the FOMO investors/speculators seek quick profits by day trading or swing trading! - Just sayin’!
I look at “The Portfolio” as a sort of “long term” holding thing – but THAT can change depending on geopolitical events, global market conditions, health (or lack thereof) of the individual equity/ETF – or my own personal circumstances.
“The Portfolio” - or JOMO List and DD Sources section is located in the “For Paid Subscribers Only” section of each Market Algo NL!
I am not an investment advisor. Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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My proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends, Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 07/11/2025:
For the trading week ending – 07/03/2025 - The SPY(SPDR - S&P500 ETF), - Increased significantly by 10.43!
What do YOU think? Will the Fed CONTINUE TO PUMP money into the equity markets next week? Duh!
Be Aware – Be Awesome!
That being said - you MUST be aware and- as the saying goes “Be as wise as a Serpent”
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NOT Investment advice:
For the upcoming trading week, ending on 0711/2025 - my proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index: This index remains significantly Bullish for the upcoming trading week!
VVIX index – The VVIX also remains significantly Bullish for the upcoming trading week!
Remember this - IMHO the markets ARE being manipulated - as in “rigged” -
You DID know that, of course!
What can possibly go wrong?
Full Disclosure- NOT Investment Advice!
Note: I STILL remain Bullish in the market - for the VERY LONG TERM!!!
Swing traders and day traders – Take Note of This!
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil: This one has turned moderately Bullish for the week ahead - Will the traders that thought WTI would move above 80 – now reap the whirlwind? Stay tuned!!!
QQQ: This one has turned significantly Bullish for the upcoming trading week!
Copper: This one remains decisively Bullish for the next trading week!
Stay tuned to see how the next trading week plays out!
My comments and analyses of these indices are NEVER to be considered investment advice!!!
A reminder – None of this is investment advice – as I am not an investment advisor!
Trade at your own risk.
Do your own due diligence!
· * Welcome to yet another week in which the Bulls - IMHO – appear to massively rule!
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The Fed’s Plunge Protection Team, per Greg Mannarino, will do anything to hype-pump the markets and ensure that - in the longer term - the Bulls remain in control—no matter the cost—no matter what it takes!
Always remember -
IMHO - the Debt Market will primarily be the canary in the coal mine, so to speak, as regards the direction of the equity markets—IMHO, of course—NOT investment advice!
The Takeaway:
My SPY-VIX Correlation Variation metric - confirms - at least from a purely technical point of view (notwithstanding “Fed manipulation” monkey business) – that this coming week’s trend – at least according to this metric – IMHO - remains Bullish – in spite of the VIX having increased – albeit a miniscule amount – by .06. This is – of course - NOT investment advice.
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Of course - keep in mind - Volatility is still very much with us!
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Please note:
Concerning my “VIX - SPY correlation-variance ” metric:
IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP, for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,for the upcoming week,…
This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, typically happens - when the Fed is inclined to support the market.
Be VERY aware - of course - at all times - concerning when the rug pull comes!
As always - IMHO - Central Bankers rule the planet! NOT the political leadership of the various so-called nation-states of the earth! - Just my opinion- of course!- Patrick
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Be sure to follow Greg Mannarino for ongoing fluctuations in the market (Google “Greory Mannarino” on the YouTube website - to get his YT link!.
NOT investment advice, of course! I am not an investment advisor!
The Takeaway - AS the US economy (Main Street) continues to fall - the US stock markets will continue to rise (and also decline of course) -
IMHO - food, energy, and commodity prices will potentially HYPERINFLATE!
Just my opinion, of course!
Duh!
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Tell your friends to subscribe now- to see what ETF’s are my favorites!
I prefer to invest in these things - in lieu of doing day or swing trades. Typically- I prefer a buy and hold strategy. Sometimes I sell them when they fail to “deliver” or do a reverse split- from which they struggle to recover from! You may want to check out this JOMO (Joy of Missing Out)strategy - or not- It’s your call!
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NOTE:
All of my Fidelity retirement brokerage account data is current as of the date shown below, in the section entitled “The Portfolio” - –
I am sharing with you – my current Joy of Missing Out (JOMO) favorite High Yield ETFs ( and VERY HIGH RISK) - that I am regularly investing in – NOT investment advice –
I am NOT an investment advisor –
These are simply my favorite ETFs that feature (variable- as in they go up and DOWN!) high yields.
With a high ROI- a high risk of loss is “what you get’!
You can do your own Due Diligence at these websites:
https://dividendinvestor.com
https://defianceetfs.com
https://yieldmaxetfs.com
https://barchart.com
https://finviz.com
FULL DISCLOSURE -
I share information concerning the annual dividend returns on some ETFs that pay on a monthly basis. -
My favorites- which I disclose in detail - currently yield between 80% - 100% - and more on an annual ROI basis!
High Risk - High Returns! -
NOT Investment Advice! -
I am NOT an investment advisor!!! - Patrick OConnell
Don’t miss a single issue of the Newsletter!
Subscribe and ALWAYS get my complete newsletter- with my breaking monthly update on the status of this High Yield - High Risk Portfolio of my favorite ETFs - NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE - I am NOT an investment advisor.
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Here is the data that I extracted from my Fidelity retirement brokerage account:
The following information, which I call “The Portfolio” - is “typically - IN FULL - displayed” - ONLY for Paid Subscribers to The Market Algo Newsletter!
Please be sure – to read the FULL DISCLOSURE notice at the very top of every issue of The Market Algo Newsletter (NL)!
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IMPORTANT FOR YOU TO NOTE –
Here is the data for my 7 CURRENT / FAVORITE HOLDINGS (all pay dividends monthly - unless otherwise indicated) -
- that I extracted from my -
Fidelity retirement brokerage account:
NOTE: The inverse of the following 2 ETFs is shown in (parentheses) – CONY (FIAT) and NVDY (CRSH)
Full Disclosure - All 7 ETFs pay on a monthly basis except IWMY (SOLD), ULTY and QQQY (SOLD) - which pay every week –
FYI – On 03/21/2025 – I sold six of these ETFs – that I previously owned: NFLY – QQQY – YBIT – BITO – SQY - and IWMY.
I felt I needed some more impactful annual ROI – So I bought TSLY with the proceeds from these ETFs that I sold!
“The Portfolio” - All the following data (displayed in my Fidelity ROTH-IRA Acct –
is current as of 07/03/2025 –
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Symbol…ROI% Est Ann Income
CONY 141% $23798
CRSH 154 % $9113
FIAT 308 % $9619
MSTY 143 % $9864
NVDY 92% $7878
TSLY 131% $9217
ULTY 134 % $9412
NOTE:
· ULTY pays on a weekly basis!
· The others pay once a month!
· VERY IMPORTANT 070325 Update on what I buy every month: I now buy MSTY-CRSH-NVDY-CONY – IN LIEU OF this set of 4 ETF’s (MSTY-CRSH-NVDY-FIAT) - I buy in various weeks (1st -2nd -3rd -4th week-- - - - - - NOT on the same day of each week for each month though -
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VERY IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR ALL MY SUBSCRIBERS -
My trading strategy – pertaining to which 4 ETFs I buy BEFORE the “next” ETF’s Ex-Dividend date -of each month- is detailed below –
A Reminder for you guys and girls - (Remember the ex-dividend date- for UTLY – is WEEKLY!!! - NOT monthly!)
Full Disclosure –
Important Updates:
· 02/28/2025 MAJOR UPDATE: FYI – Each of these Hi Yield – VERY HIGH RISK ETFs pay their dividends – on a MONTHLY BASIS (except for UTLY -which pays on a weekly basis)! – So, as of 02/28/2025 - and moving forward – I plan to implement the following strategy for my ROTH-IRA account:
· 06/06/2025 --VERY IMPORTANT ***UPDATE-
·
· As of June 2025- the following strategy- buying a specific on the Friday indicated is now obsolete- PLEASE refer to the website identified below (It is within the PAYWALL – SUBSCRIBE NOW – to get the URL an other important info my my monthly strategy in buying these ETFs!
· - for the correct Ex-Divided Dates (you need to buy the “next” ETF BEFORE the applicable “Ex-Dividend” date!!! - So that way you will know WHEN to buy the “next” ETF in the sequence- ALWAYS buy BEFORE the “next” ETF’s Ex-Dividend date- ALWAYS!!!
· Email me if you have questions- and oh yes-
Very Important Information for ALL my subscribers -
Go To THIS URL To GET INFO ON WHEN I BUY MY ETFs EACH MONTH - ·
· Here is the URL for you to get this ex-dividend date info on the updated “strategy” when to buy the “next” ETF:- to use in my updated strategy to get monthly income (and weekly - in the case of UTLY):
·
**** NOTE- I get this info FREE – by asking the Google Search Engine what the Ex-dividend date is going to be - for- example MSTY (or whatever ETF I am interested in)!
One of the options is to go to
https://marketchameleon.com
I did NOT use their limited free trial- I just get the info I need forFREE by using Google! This may be a glitch- If anything changes I WILL let you guys and girls know ASAP
Instructions on using the info located at the Marketchameleon website -
https://marketchameleon.com
Easy 2 Use -
· You will need to input the symbol of the ETF - Then - when that ETF info appears- click on “Dividends” as the sub-category you will want to view.
· Everything is there: Ex-Dividend Dates - Payout Dates - An awesome website for tons of info on equities and ETFs, etc!
·
· Very Important note for you to read -
· On the specific day of each month when CONY and FIAT pay their dividends- I shall buy MSTY.
· On the specific day of each month – when MSTY pays out – I shall buy CRSH (CRUSH is the inverse ETF of TSLY).
· On the specific day of each month – when TSLY and CRSH pay their dividends – I shall buy NVDY.
· On the specific day of each month – when NVDY pays out – I shall buy CONY (previousl I bought FIAT, the inverse ETF of CONY).
· My rationale follows – FYI - In the week that one of these ETFs pays out – I buy the ETF that will pay out in the next week. Sort of like reinvesting – but reinvesting in the ETF that pays out in the next week. Not sure how this will work out - but time will tell, no?
· Email or DM me to share your feedback on this strategy – Patrick
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My Due Diligence (DD) resourceURL links - FYI:
https://finance.yahoo.com
https://koyfin.com
https://americanbulls.com
https://stocktwits.com
https://barchart.com
https://macroaxis.com
https://armrreport.com/
https://finviz.com
https://themarketanalysts.com/
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